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Recurrent State
A state that a Markov chain, once it visits, will return to with probability 1, guaranteeing infinitely many future visits.
In Plain English
A recurrent state is one the chain can't permanently escape: however it wanders off, the odds say it comes back eventually, and because that guarantee holds every time it returns, it actually comes back infinitely often. This is the opposite of a state the chain might visit once and then leave behind forever. Whether a state is recurrent or not is a defining question for understanding a Markov chain's long-run behavior, and it's exactly the property that determines whether a stationary distribution can exist.
Definition
A state is recurrent if, starting from , the probability of eventually returning to is 1: . By the strong Markov property, a recurrent state is visited infinitely often with probability 1. Recurrence is further classified as positive recurrent, if the expected return time is finite, or null recurrent, if the return probability is 1 but the expected return time is infinite (this distinction only arises for infinite state spaces). Positive recurrence of every state in an irreducible chain is precisely the condition needed to guarantee existence of a unique stationary distribution.
Properties
- In a finite-state, irreducible Markov chain every state is automatically recurrent (in fact positive recurrent), the null-recurrent case only arises in infinite state spaces, such as a simple symmetric random walk on the integers.
- Recurrence is a class property within an irreducible chain: if one state is recurrent, every state communicating with it is also recurrent, so for irreducible chains it suffices to check just one state.
- The distinction between positive and null recurrence has a famous illustration in random walk theory: the simple symmetric random walk on (one dimension) and (two dimensions) is null recurrent, it returns to the origin with probability 1 but takes, on average, infinitely long to do so, while the same walk in three or more dimensions is transient altogether (Pólya's recurrence theorem).
At a Glance